“That was discouraging people from turning out to the primary in New Hampshire, and that’s not inflammatory, but it can be substantially more effective,” Hansen said. “I think a lot of the highest impact things that we’ll see before and during the election are of that type.”
To show what AI is capable of, CivAI has been modeling other ways that it could be used to impact voting in the run-up to election day. Hansen said that could look like doctored news articles that resemble real publications publicizing a fake suspected shooting near a polling place or misinformation telling voters that they can avoid paying to park at a polling place by showing up to a certain location during a very tight time frame, “close to when polls close and not a legitimate place.”
It’s more likely that voters will be tricked by this kind of AI-generated content than by deepfakes of the candidates or celebrities like Swift, according to Hansen, who expects to see production of this kind of content ramp up — especially in swing states and targeting swing voters.
Another CivAI model shows how AI might use highly personalized content to target voters. One of its demos uses LinkedIn to find out a person’s top concerns and writes them an email about a fake, plausible-sounding tax or regulation supposedly proposed by a candidate on one of those issues.
Hansen tried it out on his sister, a freelance artist. The email to her said Biden planned to impose additional taxes on freelancers.
“That’s so targeted and so specific that a lot of people just wouldn’t think that’s possible to do right now at any sort of automated level,” Hansen said.
Jonathan Mehta Stein, the executive director of the nonpartisan watchdog group Common Cause, said that conspiracy theorists who believe election fraud is rampant could also use AI to mimic the sophisticated systems that elections officials run to detect duplicate voters.
“You can use AI to mimic that work, but with none of the controls and none of the safeguards” that elections officials use, he said. “You can create hugely erroneous lists of voters that you want to challenge.”
Inflammatory content is also still a concern, especially as high-performing AI tools become more accessible. About a month ago, X added a beta version of Grok 2.0 for its premium members, which is an AI image generation feature using a tool from Black Forest Labs.
“It’s the first extremely easily available image generation tool that’s high quality,” Hansen told KQED.